- Date: –15:30
- Location: Zoom: https://uu-se.zoom.us/j/62568884588
- Lecturer: The 2020 Forsskål lecturer is Håvard Hegre, Dag Hammarskjöld Professor of Peace and Conflict Research at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, and director of ViEWS - Violence Early-Warning System. The lecture is followed by a panel discussion moderated by Maria Ripenberg, Journalist. Panelists are: Margareta Wahlström (Chairman Swedish Red Cross); Anders Brännström (former Major-General); Anna Jarstad (Professor at the Department of Government, Uppsala University); Morten Kjaerum (Director for the Raoul Wallenberg Institute of Human Rights)
- Organiser: Uppsala Forum, Juridiska institutionen och Uppsala universitet
- Contact person: Mattias Vesterlund
Håvard Hegre, Dag Hammarskjöld Professor of Peace and Conflict Research at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research will hold his lecture about "The future of peace and democracy - what can we know?"
After the end of the Cold War, the world went through a long period with a clear decline in the number of armed conflicts and the introduction of democratic institutions in many countries. The most recent year, however, this trend has turned. A small number of very lethal wars have broken out, and democracy has seen a decline in many countries. Will this negative trend continue into the future, or will the world take up again a development towards a more peaceful and democratic world? In this lecture, I will talk about some research projects that investigate these questions and present some scenarios for how the world will look at the end of the 21st century. Central in this work are five ’Shared Socio-economic Pathways’ that the climate research community use as future scenarios or storylines. I will use and discuss the projections for global population, education, and income that researchers have developed based on these scenarios, and present similar projections for how much internal armed conflict there will be according to a reasonable model, as well as some preliminary results for the democraticness of the world. Even under the most pessimistic SSPs, there are reasons for some optimism with respect to peace and democracy. I will discuss the data material that we may use to draw conclusions, as well as look at the assumptions required to believe these forecasts.
PANELISTS FOR THE 2020 FORSSKÅL SYMPOSIUM
The lecture is followed by a panel discussion moderated by Maria Ripenberg, journalist
The panelists are:
Margareta Wahlström, Chairman Swedish Red Cross
Anders Brännström, former Major General
Anna Jarstad, Professor at the Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, Uppsala universitet
Morten Kjaerum, Director for the Raoul Wallenberg Institute of Human Rights
The event is held on Zoom: https://uu-se.zoom.us/j/62568884588